My Week 3 Picks: NFL

Well, I somewhat redeemed myself last weekend going 2-1 improving my record for the season to 2-3-1. I am winning 33%, so the obvious move to make here is to fade (bet against) my picks. I have always told people, if you want to win money, bet against me. It has made Red Rock a lot of money over the last 5 years. It also made some bookie in Michigan a lot of money, too, years ago.

I have not hung out at the sportsbook like I usually do on the weekends as money is tight and I think I am getting a bit old for the $1 Bud Light specials at 8 am until they run out/I get kicked out. I placed one bet last weekend on Michigan Sate +6 against 0-2 Notre Dame. State shit the bed. I lost $22. All gamblers have ups and downs and I guess I am really holding out for the up. Not ups, just the up. I have never really been on a hot streak before. It sounds like fun.

My Early Leans

Jacksonville @ Carolina (-3.5) 

I could not have been more wrong about Cam Newton. The dude has two 400+ games, in his FIRST two games of his career, on a shitty team. I’ll be the first to admit, I was wrong. Carolina lost a tough game to Arizona in week one and played well against the defending champs last Sunday. Jacksonville is horrible and they are going with their first round draft pick, Blaine Gabbert at quarterback. Go luck. I like Carolina big, 31-10.

New England @ Buffalo  Over/Under 53.5

New England is favored by as many as 10.5 at some books, but I have also seen the line at 7.5 as well. I like New England, but Buffalo is playing good, tool. I know, they beat Kansas City and Oakland, but a very impressive game-wining drive last weekend against Oakland. If the weather holds up, this total could be in the high 60s at the end of the game. I like New England 34-27, take the over.

***MY PICK OF THE WEEK***

Detroit @ Minnesota (+3.5)

My Detroit Lions are playing some football! They look to go 3-0 on Sunday. Minnesota is turrible (Charles Barkley voice) Donovan McNabb is obviously not the answer. I have always been a McNab fan, but it’s obvious that his legs got him out of trouble early in his career, not anymore. Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson have the potential to be similar to Montana-Rice. They are fun to watch and a lot of fun to root for. Stafford has 7 TD passes in the first two games with FOUR of those going to Megatron, aka Calvin Johnson. It feels good to be a Lions fan. I like Detroit 27-17.

Season Record: 2-3-1

Pick of the Week Record: 1-0-1 (or as I like to say…undefeated)

Money Won/Lost: $44.00

  

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Trackbacks/Pingbacks

  1. My Week 4 Picks: NFL « - September 30, 2011

    [...] guy is getting back on track. Thank you to the three people that have followed my picks. I went 2-1 last week missing my Pick of the Week by a half a point – a game of inches, I tell ya. Anywho, I am [...]

  2. My Week 4 Picks: NFL « - September 30, 2011

    [...] guy is getting back on track. Thank you to the three people that have followed my picks. I went 2-1 last week missing my Pick of the Week by a half a point – a game of inches, I tell ya. Anywho, I am [...]

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